Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Madden 50.6% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 52.5%
Defensive zone
Madden 69.6%
Neutral zone
Madden 57.2%
Result
John Madden favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Madden
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Madden
Kesler
Last 10: Madden 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
9
Madden
Kesler
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Madden
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Madden
6
2
Madden
Kesler
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Madden
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (1,083)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.5% (33)
60.7% (1,437)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
50.5% (1,908)
-2.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Madden is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (429).
Madden shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Madden
Kesler
Home
52.7% (678)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.5% (623)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Madden
Kesler
P1
51.5%
56.5%
P2
52.5%
55.9%
P3
47.6%
56.1%
OT
62.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Madden
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2012 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 3 | 15:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 02:47 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 12:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 08:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Jan 9, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Madden |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 3 | 16:07 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Mar 14, 2011 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2011 | 1 | 14:57 | Defensive | John Madden |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | John Madden |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | John Madden |