Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Mitchell wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.0% vs Kesler 52.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 65.7%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 56.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 66.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Mitchell
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mitchell
Kesler
Last 6: Mitchell 5-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
0
Mitchell
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (607)
53.8% (1,005)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.2% (49)
56.6% (205)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (92)
42.3% (196)
-2.1%
On power play, Mitchell has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Mitchell is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Mitchell shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Kesler
Home
52.0% (406)
54.1% (719)
Away
47.7% (342)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Mitchell
Kesler
P1
51.6%
53.1%
P2
44.0%
54.5%
P3
55.0%
50.3%
OT
42.9%
47.4%
Final 5 min
56.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:13 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | John Mitchell |