Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Kesler 56.0% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 19-8 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 59.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 75.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Tavares
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
19
(27 meetings)
8
19
Tavares
Kesler
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
8
Tavares
Kesler
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
9
Tavares
Kesler
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
57.4% (1,185)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
58.0% (243)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
49.2% (236)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Tavares is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Tavares shoots left. Kesler is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,075).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kesler
Home
56.5% (731)
58.5% (793)
Away
47.8% (711)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Tavares
Kesler
P1
56.1%
57.0%
P2
50.3%
55.4%
P3
50.5%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 15:12 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 03:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2014 | OT | 01:25 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 5, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | John Tavares |