Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Kesler 57.0% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 21-8 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 95.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 76.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Tavares
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
21
(29 meetings)
8
21
Tavares
Kesler
Last 10: Tavares 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
6
Tavares
Kesler
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
9
Tavares
Kesler
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
6
Tavares
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
57.6% (1,225)
-8.9%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
63.5% (263)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
51.5% (305)
-3.6%
On even strength, Kesler has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Tavares is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (556).
Tavares shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kesler
Home
52.1% (841)
59.1% (881)
Away
49.0% (787)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Tavares
Kesler
P1
52.2%
56.6%
P2
50.7%
58.2%
P3
49.7%
57.5%
OT
37.9%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2016 | OT | 04:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2016 | OT | 03:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 03:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 2 | 00:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 02:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |