Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kemppainen 49.6% vs Kesler 58.0% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kemppainen 70.2%
Defensive zone
Kemppainen 71.6%
Neutral zone
Kemppainen 72.1%
Result
Joonas Kemppainen favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Kemppainen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kemppainen
Kesler
Last 7: Kemppainen 2-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kemppainen
1
0
Kemppainen
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Kemppainen
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Kemppainen
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kemppainen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (379)
58.6% (1,138)
-8.2%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
64.5% (186)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (65)
55.0% (351)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kemppainen is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Kemppainen shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Kemppainen
Kesler
Home
49.3% (201)
61.0% (859)
Away
49.6% (258)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Kemppainen
Kesler
P1
50.3%
59.1%
P2
47.9%
56.5%
P3
50.7%
60.5%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kemppainen
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Joonas Kemppainen |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Joonas Kemppainen |