Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.1% vs Kesler 52.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 59.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 62.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 61.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Staal
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Staal
Kesler
Last 5: Staal 0-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Staal
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Staal
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Staal
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,171)
53.8% (1,005)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.6% (173)
56.6% (205)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (133)
42.3% (196)
+0.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Staal is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Staal shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Staal
Kesler
Home
54.7% (720)
54.1% (719)
Away
54.0% (757)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Staal
Kesler
P1
51.2%
53.1%
P2
57.4%
54.5%
P3
54.6%
50.3%
OT
52.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
59.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2013 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 9, 2013 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 3 | 18:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |