Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Abdelkader on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Abdelkader 52.3% vs Kesler 57.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abdelkader 64.8%
Defensive zone
Abdelkader 56.6%
Neutral zone
Abdelkader 62.3%
Result
Justin Abdelkader favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Abdelkader
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Abdelkader
Kesler
Last 6: Abdelkader 2-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Abdelkader
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abdelkader
2
1
Abdelkader
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Abdelkader
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Abdelkader
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (373)
57.3% (1,022)
-4.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
61.5% (200)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (46)
54.9% (257)
+1.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Abdelkader is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Abdelkader shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Abdelkader
Kesler
Home
56.9% (204)
58.6% (766)
Away
49.1% (226)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Abdelkader
Kesler
P1
48.4%
58.9%
P2
52.2%
56.8%
P3
59.5%
57.5%
OT
0.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
58.3%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Abdelkader
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Justin Abdelkader |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 08:25 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |