Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Porter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Porter 50.3% vs Kesler 58.0% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 59.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 89.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 82.8%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Porter
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Porter
Kesler
Last 5: Porter 4-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Porter
4
0
Porter
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Porter
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Porter
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (75)
58.6% (1,138)
-2.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
64.5% (186)
-64.5%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (10)
55.0% (351)
-35.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +64.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Porter is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (29).
Porter shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Porter
Kesler
Home
59.2% (49)
61.0% (859)
Away
39.5% (38)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Porter
Kesler
P1
48.3%
59.1%
P2
59.4%
56.5%
P3
42.3%
60.5%
Final 5 min
42.1%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Porter
50.0%▲
42.0%
50.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 14:19 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Kevin Porter |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |