Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Okposo wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Okposo 48.4% vs Kesler 52.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Okposo 81.5%
Defensive zone
Okposo 59.9%
Neutral zone
Okposo 60.4%
Result
Kyle Okposo favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Okposo
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Okposo
Kesler
Last 7: Okposo 2-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Okposo
2
0
Okposo
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Okposo
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Okposo
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Okposo
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (126)
53.8% (1,005)
-4.6%
Power Play
45.5% (66)
56.6% (205)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
42.3% (196)
-0.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Okposo is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Okposo shoots right. Kesler is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Okposo
Kesler
Home
50.9% (106)
54.1% (719)
Away
43.9% (98)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Okposo
Kesler
P1
61.4%
53.1%
P2
42.7%
54.5%
P3
44.3%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
43.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Okposo
48.0%▬
49.0%
47.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 13:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 16:46 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Kyle Okposo |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 03:03 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |