Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Wellwood wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wellwood 49.6% vs Kesler 57.0% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 57.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 80.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 65.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Wellwood
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Wellwood
Kesler
Last 5: Wellwood 3-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wellwood
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wellwood
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wellwood
1
0
Wellwood
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wellwood
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (124)
57.3% (1,022)
-8.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
61.5% (200)
+1.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Wellwood is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Wellwood shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Wellwood
Kesler
Home
50.8% (61)
58.6% (766)
Away
47.9% (71)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Wellwood
Kesler
P1
41.2%
58.9%
P2
53.7%
56.8%
P3
50.0%
57.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
49.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 16:46 | Defensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Kyle Wellwood |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 09:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |