Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 32.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 43.9% vs Kesler 57.0% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 82.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 87.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 81.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Eller
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Eller
Kesler
Last 6: Eller 0-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Eller
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Eller
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Eller
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (402)
57.3% (1,022)
-14.3%
Power Play
16.7% (12)
61.5% (200)
-44.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
54.9% (257)
+11.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Eller is 32.4% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Eller shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Eller
Kesler
Home
44.6% (184)
58.6% (766)
Away
40.9% (247)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Eller
Kesler
P1
45.3%
58.9%
P2
41.5%
56.8%
P3
39.9%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
40.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 10:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 09:10 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |