Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.2% vs 52.6%). Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Kesler 52.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 50.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 51.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 52.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Eller
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Eller
Kesler
Last 10: Eller 3-7 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Eller
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Eller
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Eller
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
53.8% (1,005)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
56.6% (205)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
42.3% (196)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Eller is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Eller shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Eller
Kesler
Home
52.8% (525)
54.1% (719)
Away
53.7% (454)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Eller
Kesler
P1
53.9%
53.1%
P2
54.8%
54.5%
P3
50.9%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 19:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 03:35 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |