Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.0% vs Kesler 55.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 73.8%
Defensive zone
Eller 77.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 75.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Eller
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Eller
Kesler
Last 5: Eller 0-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Eller
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Eller
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Eller
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (821)
55.7% (741)
-5.8%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
67.0% (100)
-14.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (214)
50.0% (204)
-6.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Eller is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Eller shoots left. Kesler is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Home / Away
Eller
Kesler
Home
49.4% (559)
52.5% (522)
Away
48.5% (550)
58.9% (523)
By Period
Eller
Kesler
P1
50.1%
56.7%
P2
46.7%
56.8%
P3
49.9%
54.1%
OT
71.4%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |