Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 50.5% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 29-12 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 88.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 80.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 84.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Eller
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
29
(41 meetings)
12
29
Eller
Kesler
Last 10: Eller 1-9 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
13
Eller
Kesler
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
8
10
Eller
Kesler
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
6
Eller
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (10,296)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.3%
Power Play
52.8% (621)
60.7% (1,437)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,751)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Eller shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Eller
Kesler
Home
51.4% (6,118)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.7% (6,578)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Eller
Kesler
P1
51.2%
56.5%
P2
50.1%
55.9%
P3
50.2%
56.1%
OT
56.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 18:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 3 | 09:17 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2016 | OT | 04:51 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 1 | 10:34 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Lars Eller |