Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kruger wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 49.3% vs Kesler 58.0% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kruger 76.3%
Defensive zone
Kruger 86.2%
Neutral zone
Kruger 79.1%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Kruger
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kruger
Kesler
Last 5: Kruger 0-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Kruger
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Kruger
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (348)
58.6% (1,138)
-4.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
64.5% (186)
+35.5%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (125)
55.0% (351)
-19.8%
On power play, Kruger has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Kruger is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Kruger shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Kruger
Kesler
Home
52.4% (212)
61.0% (859)
Away
46.6% (262)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Kruger
Kesler
P1
40.1%
59.1%
P2
53.6%
56.5%
P3
54.6%
60.5%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 3 | 09:10 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2015 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |