Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Letestu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Letestu wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 52.5% vs Kesler 56.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 77.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 54.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 58.3%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Letestu
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Letestu
Kesler
Last 9: Letestu 6-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Letestu
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Letestu
4
0
Letestu
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Letestu
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (488)
57.4% (1,185)
-1.9%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
58.0% (243)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (100)
49.2% (236)
-8.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Letestu is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Letestu shoots right. Kesler is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Letestu
Kesler
Home
55.9% (297)
58.5% (793)
Away
50.0% (306)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Letestu
Kesler
P1
49.2%
57.0%
P2
55.4%
55.4%
P3
53.4%
56.7%
OT
60.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
53.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 10:13 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |