Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +20.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reinhart wins 32.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 44.0% vs Kesler 55.6% (-20.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 78.4%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 77.3%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 78.2%
Result
Max Reinhart favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Reinhart
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Reinhart
Kesler
Last 8: Reinhart 2-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Reinhart
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
0
Reinhart
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Reinhart
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (79)
57.6% (231)
-19.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
65.5% (29)
-32.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
51.2% (43)
-17.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Reinhart is 32.0% vs right-shot opponents (25).
Reinhart shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Kesler
Home
37.7% (53)
58.8% (114)
Away
36.8% (38)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Reinhart
Kesler
P1
39.3%
60.8%
P2
42.3%
60.0%
P3
31.4%
52.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
35.7%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
24.0%▼
32.6%
37.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Max Reinhart |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Max Reinhart |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 09:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |