Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Zibanejad wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 46.9% vs Kesler 52.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 84.3%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 73.2%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 73.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Zibanejad
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Zibanejad
Kesler
Last 5: Zibanejad 0-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Zibanejad
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Zibanejad
Kesler
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Zibanejad
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (334)
53.8% (1,005)
-5.0%
Power Play
36.4% (55)
56.6% (205)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (8)
42.3% (196)
-42.3%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (122).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kesler is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kesler
Home
47.3% (203)
54.1% (719)
Away
44.8% (194)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kesler
P1
44.8%
53.1%
P2
44.8%
54.5%
P3
49.5%
50.3%
OT
44.4%
47.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |