Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Zibanejad wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 48.9% vs Kesler 56.0% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 83.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 84.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 79.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Zibanejad
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
16
(20 meetings)
4
16
Zibanejad
Kesler
Last 10: Zibanejad 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
5
Zibanejad
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
6
Zibanejad
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
5
Zibanejad
Kesler
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (1,031)
57.4% (1,185)
-8.3%
Power Play
47.5% (200)
58.0% (243)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
49.2% (236)
-2.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Zibanejad is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (427).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kesler is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kesler
Home
52.0% (658)
58.5% (793)
Away
45.3% (603)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kesler
P1
48.0%
57.0%
P2
53.2%
55.4%
P3
45.8%
56.7%
OT
41.7%
54.8%
Final 5 min
45.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
48.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 15:34 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 15:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2015 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 08:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |