Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 19 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 49.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 38-15 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 72.8%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 88.0%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 78.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Zibanejad
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
38
(53 meetings)
15
38
Zibanejad
Kesler
Last 10: Zibanejad 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
8
12
Zibanejad
Kesler
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
17
Zibanejad
Kesler
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
9
Zibanejad
Kesler
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (11,719)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.2% (1,849)
60.7% (1,437)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (1,790)
50.5% (1,908)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (4,681).
Zibanejad shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Kesler
Home
51.6% (7,566)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.3% (7,793)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Zibanejad
Kesler
P1
50.4%
56.5%
P2
49.7%
55.9%
P3
49.8%
56.1%
OT
48.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 08:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 13:26 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:37 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 3 | 10:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |