Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 33.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 43.1% vs Kesler 53.3% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 79.0%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 87.1%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 85.4%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Ribeiro
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Ribeiro
Kesler
Last 7: Ribeiro 1-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ribeiro
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
3
Ribeiro
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Ribeiro
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (624)
53.8% (981)
-11.3%
Power Play
42.2% (128)
56.9% (160)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
49.2% (185)
-12.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Ribeiro is 33.5% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Ribeiro shoots left. Kesler is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (959).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Kesler
Home
44.3% (395)
54.1% (690)
Away
40.2% (413)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Ribeiro
Kesler
P1
36.5%
52.3%
P2
43.8%
52.8%
P3
45.6%
56.3%
OT
57.9%
44.1%
Final 5 min
33.3%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
42.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 26, 2012 | 1 | 10:18 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |