Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lucic on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lucic 48.1% vs Kesler 52.5% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lucic 58.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 83.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 70.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Lucic
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lucic
Kesler
Last 5: Lucic 3-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lucic
3
0
Lucic
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Lucic
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lucic
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
34.6% (52)
53.8% (1,005)
-19.2%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
56.6% (205)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
42.3% (196)
+57.7%
On penalty kill, Lucic has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Lucic is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (71).
Lucic shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Lucic
Kesler
Home
46.9% (64)
54.1% (719)
Away
46.3% (67)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Lucic
Kesler
P1
41.0%
53.1%
P2
48.9%
54.5%
P3
47.7%
50.3%
OT
66.7%
47.4%
Final 5 min
38.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lucic
46.0%▬
45.5%
46.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 14:32 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | Milan Lucic |
| Dec 14, 2013 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |