Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 47.6% vs Kesler 55.6% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 70.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 73.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 74.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Bonino
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Bonino
Kesler
Last 6: Bonino 1-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Bonino
Kesler
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (246)
57.6% (231)
-9.2%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
65.5% (29)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
51.2% (43)
-10.0%
On power play, Kesler has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bonino is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Bonino shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Bonino
Kesler
Home
53.3% (122)
58.8% (114)
Away
42.2% (173)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Bonino
Kesler
P1
48.4%
60.8%
P2
44.3%
60.0%
P3
47.2%
52.5%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 14:40 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |