Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 52.3% vs Kesler 57.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 55.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 85.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 66.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Backstrom
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Backstrom
Kesler
Last 10: Backstrom 8-2 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
5
2
Backstrom
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
1
Backstrom
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (940)
57.3% (1,022)
-5.2%
Power Play
51.3% (267)
61.5% (200)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (83)
54.9% (257)
+0.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Backstrom is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Backstrom shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Kesler
Home
53.6% (638)
58.6% (766)
Away
51.4% (677)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Backstrom
Kesler
P1
54.8%
58.9%
P2
50.5%
56.8%
P3
52.0%
57.5%
OT
59.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
51.7%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 05:50 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 14, 2011 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |