Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.4% vs Kesler 52.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 71.2%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 59.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 55.9%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Backstrom
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Backstrom
Kesler
Last 6: Backstrom 1-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
4
Backstrom
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Backstrom
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,137)
53.8% (1,005)
-4.8%
Power Play
59.8% (194)
56.6% (205)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (84)
42.3% (196)
+6.5%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Backstrom is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (488).
Backstrom shoots left. Kesler is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (982).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Kesler
Home
52.9% (735)
54.1% (719)
Away
47.8% (680)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Backstrom
Kesler
P1
51.1%
53.1%
P2
47.2%
54.5%
P3
52.9%
50.3%
OT
53.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2013 | 3 | 12:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 3 | 03:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 2 | 08:49 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 1 | 08:52 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |