Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 48.7% vs Kesler 58.0% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 81.3%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 86.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 84.6%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Backstrom
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Backstrom
Kesler
Last 10: Backstrom 2-8 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Backstrom
Kesler
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
5
Backstrom
Kesler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Backstrom
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (1,097)
58.6% (1,138)
-10.7%
Power Play
55.7% (149)
64.5% (186)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (111)
55.0% (351)
-10.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Backstrom is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (532).
Backstrom shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Kesler
Home
51.1% (638)
61.0% (859)
Away
46.3% (719)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Backstrom
Kesler
P1
44.8%
59.1%
P2
51.1%
56.5%
P3
49.4%
60.5%
OT
55.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2016 | OT | 04:51 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 7, 2016 | OT | 04:36 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 7, 2016 | OT | 03:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | OT | 00:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 06:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 02:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 13:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 04:47 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |