Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Bergeron wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bergeron 59.7% vs Kesler 56.0% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 69.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 70.7%
Neutral zone
Kesler 72.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Bergeron
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
12
(18 meetings)
6
12
Bergeron
Kesler
Last 10: Bergeron 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
4
Bergeron
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
7
Bergeron
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
1
Bergeron
Kesler
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bergeron
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (1,394)
57.4% (1,185)
+3.1%
Power Play
64.0% (300)
58.0% (243)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (255)
49.2% (236)
+4.5%
On power play, Bergeron has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Bergeron is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (716).
Bergeron shoots right. Kesler is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Bergeron
Kesler
Home
62.0% (949)
58.5% (793)
Away
58.6% (1,002)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Bergeron
Kesler
P1
59.2%
57.0%
P2
63.9%
55.4%
P3
57.0%
56.7%
OT
68.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
59.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | OT | 00:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 19:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 19:55 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 14:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 00:43 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 19:38 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 11:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |