Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sharp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Sharp wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sharp 48.3% vs Kesler 53.3% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 64.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 89.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 84.0%
Result
Patrick Sharp favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Sharp
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Sharp
Kesler
Last 8: Sharp 7-1 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
7
0
Sharp
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Sharp
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sharp
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (239)
53.8% (981)
-6.1%
Power Play
52.2% (46)
56.9% (160)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
49.2% (185)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Sharp is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (77).
Sharp shoots right. Kesler is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Sharp
Kesler
Home
53.6% (151)
54.1% (690)
Away
41.4% (140)
53.1% (661)
By Period
Sharp
Kesler
P1
46.9%
52.3%
P2
46.2%
52.8%
P3
48.4%
56.3%
OT
66.7%
44.1%
Final 5 min
39.0%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
47.8%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |