Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Sharp on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sharp 50.1% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Sharp leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Sharp 65.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 98.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 79.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Sharp
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
12
(28 meetings)
16
12
Sharp
Kesler
Last 10: Sharp 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
13
0
Sharp
Kesler
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
11
Sharp
Kesler
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sharp
3
1
Sharp
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sharp
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (1,085)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.6% (180)
60.7% (1,437)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
50.5% (1,908)
-9.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Sharp is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Sharp shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Sharp
Kesler
Home
53.2% (688)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
46.7% (623)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Sharp
Kesler
P1
48.0%
56.5%
P2
49.1%
55.9%
P3
51.7%
56.1%
OT
62.2%
46.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 13, 2016 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2016 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Mar 21, 2012 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 16, 2011 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Nov 6, 2011 | 2 | 13:54 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 2 | 15:44 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Feb 4, 2011 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |