Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Peverley wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peverley 58.6% vs Kesler 52.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 65.4%
Defensive zone
Kesler 59.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 59.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Peverley
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Peverley
Kesler
Last 8: Peverley 3-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Peverley
Kesler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Peverley
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Peverley
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peverley
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
62.8% (414)
53.8% (1,005)
+9.0%
Power Play
54.2% (96)
56.6% (205)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (69)
42.3% (196)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Peverley has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Peverley is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Peverley shoots right. Kesler is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Peverley
Kesler
Home
63.9% (324)
54.1% (719)
Away
55.3% (255)
51.1% (687)
By Period
Peverley
Kesler
P1
63.3%
53.1%
P2
60.1%
54.5%
P3
58.0%
50.3%
OT
40.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
57.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
60.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 13:41 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2013 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 06:52 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |