Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Johansen 52.2% vs Kesler 58.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.0%
Defensive zone
Johansen 55.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 67.5%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Johansen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Johansen
Kesler
Last 8: Johansen 2-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
1
Johansen
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Johansen
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Johansen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,006)
58.6% (1,138)
-6.7%
Power Play
56.0% (207)
64.5% (186)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
55.0% (351)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Johansen is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Johansen shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Johansen
Kesler
Home
56.4% (633)
61.0% (859)
Away
48.1% (613)
55.9% (816)
By Period
Johansen
Kesler
P1
51.4%
59.1%
P2
52.9%
56.5%
P3
51.7%
60.5%
OT
84.6%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 06:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 6, 2015 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |