Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Strome 44.6% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 69.1%
Defensive zone
Strome 65.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 68.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Kesler
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Kesler
Strome
Last 10: Kesler 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
6
Kesler
Strome
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kesler
Strome
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
1
Kesler
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
44.1% (6,839)
+12.3%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
49.3% (854)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
41.5% (410)
+9.0%
On even strength, Kesler has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Kesler
Strome
Home
57.2% (5,732)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Kesler
Strome
P1
56.5%
44.0%
P2
55.9%
45.3%
P3
56.1%
44.3%
OT
46.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 4, 2018 | OT | 02:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 21, 2015 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |