Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 52.9% vs Strome 45.0% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 82.2%
Defensive zone
Strome 56.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 66.5%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Kesler
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kesler
Strome
Last 9: Kesler 3-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
4
Kesler
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (567)
44.4% (568)
+10.8%
Power Play
54.9% (51)
52.5% (61)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (131)
31.0% (42)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Kesler is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Kesler shoots right. Strome is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Kesler
Strome
Home
55.7% (388)
42.8% (367)
Away
50.8% (362)
46.1% (304)
By Period
Kesler
Strome
P1
56.3%
41.1%
P2
52.5%
44.9%
P3
52.6%
46.6%
OT
35.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 19:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2018 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 4, 2018 | OT | 02:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |