Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 29 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Koivu 51.8% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 44-31 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 82.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 66.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 81.5%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Kesler
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
44
-
31
(75 meetings)
44
31
Kesler
Koivu
Last 10: Kesler 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
21
8
Kesler
Koivu
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
9
11
Kesler
Koivu
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
12
Kesler
Koivu
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
51.9% (3,221)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
59.3% (437)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
48.0% (764)
+2.5%
On even strength, Kesler has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Koivu is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,337).
Home / Away
Kesler
Koivu
Home
57.2% (5,732)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Kesler
Koivu
P1
56.5%
51.1%
P2
55.9%
52.6%
P3
56.1%
51.8%
OT
46.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2014 | 1 | 19:34 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 08:55 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 05:35 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 02:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 3 | 00:29 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 04:07 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 00:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 15, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 5, 2014 | OT | 03:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |