Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 25 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 34-24 in 58 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 67.8%
Defensive zone
Kesler 93.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 88.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Kesler
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
24
(58 meetings)
34
24
Kesler
Gagner
Last 10: Kesler 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
4
10
Kesler
Gagner
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
20
5
Kesler
Gagner
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
10
9
Kesler
Gagner
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
45.4% (4,699)
+11.0%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
51.5% (928)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
35.0% (226)
+15.5%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Gagner is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,684).
Home / Away
Kesler
Gagner
Home
57.2% (5,732)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Kesler
Gagner
P1
56.5%
44.6%
P2
55.9%
46.1%
P3
56.1%
47.3%
OT
46.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 21, 2018 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 05:41 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 03:30 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |