Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Aho 51.3% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 72.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 54.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 62.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Kesler
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kesler
Aho
Last 6: Kesler 1-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Kesler
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Kesler
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
50.1% (6,415)
+6.3%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
59.1% (1,297)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
46.0% (446)
+4.5%
On even strength, Kesler has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Aho is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,013).
Home / Away
Kesler
Aho
Home
57.2% (5,732)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Kesler
Aho
P1
56.5%
51.2%
P2
55.9%
52.1%
P3
56.1%
50.8%
OT
46.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 00:20 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 30, 2018 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |