Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 19 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 28-18 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 85.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 91.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 91.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Kesler
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
18
(46 meetings)
28
18
Kesler
Horcoff
Last 10: Kesler 6-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
13
6
Kesler
Horcoff
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
4
6
Kesler
Horcoff
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
11
6
Kesler
Horcoff
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
50.6% (3,133)
+5.8%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
51.4% (555)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
43.0% (567)
+7.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Kesler
Horcoff
Home
57.2% (5,732)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Kesler
Horcoff
P1
56.5%
48.2%
P2
55.9%
49.5%
P3
56.1%
50.9%
OT
46.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 2 | 02:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 11:40 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |