Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 29 meetings). Kesler wins 56.1% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Plekanec 50.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 62-42 in 104 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 85.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 81.3%
Neutral zone
Kesler 88.0%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Kesler
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
62
-
42
(104 meetings)
62
42
Kesler
Plekanec
Last 10: Kesler 4-6 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
21
8
Kesler
Plekanec
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
18
21
Kesler
Plekanec
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
23
13
Kesler
Plekanec
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
50.8% (8,558)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
51.3% (1,151)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
46.0% (1,924)
+4.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Kesler shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Kesler
Plekanec
Home
57.2% (5,732)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Kesler
Plekanec
P1
56.5%
52.5%
P2
55.9%
48.9%
P3
56.1%
49.0%
OT
46.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:32 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 14:16 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 07:31 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 05:03 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 3 | 10:20 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |