Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kesler wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Plekanec 50.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 90.3%
Defensive zone
Kesler 80.9%
Neutral zone
Kesler 89.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
Kesler
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Kesler
Plekanec
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
0
Kesler
Plekanec
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
2
Kesler
Plekanec
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Plekanec
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,022)
51.0% (1,016)
+6.3%
Power Play
61.5% (200)
49.0% (206)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (257)
46.3% (307)
+8.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Kesler shoots right. Plekanec is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (632).
Home / Away
Kesler
Plekanec
Home
58.6% (766)
53.3% (836)
Away
56.2% (730)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Kesler
Plekanec
P1
58.9%
54.4%
P2
56.8%
44.5%
P3
57.5%
50.4%
OT
31.6%
68.2%
Final 5 min
57.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 08:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |