Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Wingels 44.4% (+12.2%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 85.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 94.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 91.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 90.7%
90.7%
9.3%
Kesler
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Kesler
Wingels
Last 10: Kesler 8-2 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
0
Kesler
Wingels
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
1
Kesler
Wingels
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
1
Kesler
Wingels
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
44.2% (871)
+12.2%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
43.2% (74)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
41.3% (109)
+9.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Wingels is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
Kesler
Wingels
Home
57.2% (5,732)
44.4% (462)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
43.4% (592)
By Period
Kesler
Wingels
P1
56.5%
45.1%
P2
55.9%
40.9%
P3
56.1%
46.0%
OT
46.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 9, 2016 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:06 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |