Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Kesler wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 56.0% vs Wingels 47.2% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 56.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 80.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 68.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Kesler
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kesler
Wingels
Last 5: Kesler 3-2 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Wingels
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Wingels
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Wingels
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (1,185)
42.5% (106)
+14.9%
Power Play
58.0% (243)
45.9% (37)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (236)
72.7% (11)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Wingels has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Kesler is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Kesler shoots right. Wingels is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Home / Away
Kesler
Wingels
Home
58.5% (793)
45.5% (77)
Away
54.3% (871)
45.5% (77)
By Period
Kesler
Wingels
P1
57.0%
45.9%
P2
55.4%
50.8%
P3
56.7%
42.3%
OT
54.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 3 | 08:03 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Tommy Wingels |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 3 | 12:58 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |