Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Mitchell 50.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 56.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 69.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 57.3%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Kesler
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Kesler
Mitchell
Last 10: Kesler 4-6 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
3
Kesler
Mitchell
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
5
Kesler
Mitchell
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
3
Kesler
Mitchell
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
50.7% (2,523)
+5.7%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
54.3% (35)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
50.7% (473)
-0.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Kesler
Mitchell
Home
57.2% (5,732)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Kesler
Mitchell
P1
56.5%
54.8%
P2
55.9%
48.1%
P3
56.1%
49.6%
OT
46.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 2, 2016 | OT | 02:54 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Mar 2, 2016 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 1 | 14:41 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 18:59 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |