Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Mitchell 49.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 53.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 56.4%
Neutral zone
Kesler 52.3%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Kesler
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Kesler
Mitchell
Last 8: Kesler 4-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Mitchell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
2
Kesler
Mitchell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kesler
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,022)
47.8% (182)
+9.5%
Power Play
61.5% (200)
62.5% (8)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (257)
45.5% (11)
+9.4%
On even strength, Kesler has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Kesler shoots right. Mitchell is 37.5% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Kesler
Mitchell
Home
58.6% (766)
47.5% (120)
Away
56.2% (730)
50.6% (83)
By Period
Kesler
Mitchell
P1
58.9%
55.2%
P2
56.8%
55.2%
P3
57.5%
36.2%
Final 5 min
57.9%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 10:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 09:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 03:11 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |