Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Mitchell 54.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 50.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 69.3%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 59.6%
Result
Torrey Mitchell favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Kesler
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kesler
Mitchell
Last 6: Kesler 2-4 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
3
Kesler
Mitchell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Kesler
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,225)
53.8% (595)
+3.8%
Power Play
63.5% (263)
66.7% (6)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (305)
57.0% (151)
-5.5%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Kesler is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (575).
Kesler shoots right. Mitchell is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Kesler
Mitchell
Home
59.1% (881)
57.9% (375)
Away
55.7% (912)
51.2% (377)
By Period
Kesler
Mitchell
P1
56.6%
57.9%
P2
58.2%
47.5%
P3
57.5%
58.8%
OT
53.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |