Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (66% H2H, 29 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Zajac 54.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 51-35 in 86 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 50.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 53.5%
Neutral zone
Kesler 53.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Kesler
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
35
(86 meetings)
51
35
Kesler
Zajac
Last 10: Kesler 3-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
18
14
Kesler
Zajac
32 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
11
Kesler
Zajac
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
19
10
Kesler
Zajac
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
54.4% (9,056)
+2.0%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
59.1% (1,498)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
48.6% (1,599)
+1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Zajac is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,011).
Home / Away
Kesler
Zajac
Home
57.2% (5,732)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Kesler
Zajac
P1
56.5%
53.8%
P2
55.9%
55.6%
P3
56.1%
53.6%
OT
46.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 16:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 09:47 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 06:14 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:14 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |