Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kesler wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 58.0% vs Zajac 51.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 72.6%
Defensive zone
Kesler 88.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 88.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Kesler
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
7
(21 meetings)
14
7
Kesler
Zajac
Last 10: Kesler 6-4 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
6
3
Kesler
Zajac
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
0
Kesler
Zajac
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
3
4
Kesler
Zajac
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,138)
51.8% (986)
+6.8%
Power Play
64.5% (186)
61.1% (185)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (351)
42.1% (216)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Kesler is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (507).
Kesler shoots right. Zajac is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Kesler
Zajac
Home
61.0% (859)
54.0% (672)
Away
55.9% (816)
49.2% (715)
By Period
Kesler
Zajac
P1
59.1%
53.1%
P2
56.5%
52.2%
P3
60.5%
50.1%
OT
44.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
61.3%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 02:54 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 05:30 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |