Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Lewis 43.2% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 91.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 98.2%
Neutral zone
Kesler 96.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 95.7%
95.7%
4.3%
Kesler
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
4
(19 meetings)
15
4
Kesler
Lewis
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
2
Kesler
Lewis
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
7
1
Kesler
Lewis
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
1
Kesler
Lewis
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
43.2% (2,347)
+13.2%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
51.9% (108)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
38.6% (365)
+11.9%
On even strength, Kesler has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Lewis is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Kesler
Lewis
Home
57.2% (5,732)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Kesler
Lewis
P1
56.5%
42.8%
P2
55.9%
43.9%
P3
56.1%
41.9%
OT
46.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 19, 2018 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 02:49 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 7, 2016 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |