Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 54.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 52.5% vs Lewis 48.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 66.7%
Defensive zone
Kesler 77.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 76.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Kesler
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kesler
Lewis
Last 6: Kesler 5-1 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kesler
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
0
Kesler
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,005)
48.5% (231)
+5.3%
Power Play
56.6% (205)
25.0% (8)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (196)
56.5% (23)
-14.2%
On power play, Kesler has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Kesler is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (424).
Kesler shoots right. Lewis is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Kesler
Lewis
Home
54.1% (719)
47.5% (118)
Away
51.1% (687)
49.3% (144)
By Period
Kesler
Lewis
P1
53.1%
44.4%
P2
54.5%
46.2%
P3
50.3%
55.3%
OT
47.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
52.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 13, 2014 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |