Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kesler wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Brouwer shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 55.9% vs Brouwer 50.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 70.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 90.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 84.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Kesler
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Kesler
Brouwer
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
2
Kesler
Brouwer
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
1
Kesler
Brouwer
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
0
Kesler
Brouwer
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (8,095)
50.3% (702)
+6.1%
Power Play
60.7% (1,437)
53.7% (551)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.5% (1,908)
46.6% (412)
+3.9%
On power play, Kesler has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Kesler shoots right. Brouwer is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Kesler
Brouwer
Home
57.2% (5,732)
53.5% (854)
Away
54.7% (5,751)
47.3% (811)
By Period
Kesler
Brouwer
P1
56.5%
51.4%
P2
55.9%
49.3%
P3
56.1%
51.2%
OT
46.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
56.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Nov 28, 2018 | 1 | 05:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 4, 2016 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 05:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |