Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kesler wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 57.0% vs Bozak 54.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 62.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 70.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 68.9%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Kesler
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Kesler
Bozak
Last 10: Kesler 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
1
Kesler
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
1
Kesler
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Kesler
Bozak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (1,022)
54.2% (962)
+3.1%
Power Play
61.5% (200)
57.9% (266)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
54.9% (257)
52.1% (188)
+2.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Kesler is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Kesler shoots right. Bozak is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Kesler
Bozak
Home
58.6% (766)
58.6% (732)
Away
56.2% (730)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Kesler
Bozak
P1
58.9%
54.1%
P2
56.8%
55.0%
P3
57.5%
54.1%
OT
31.6%
65.2%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 08:28 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 08:25 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 09:15 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 15:15 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 1 | 00:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 11:42 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |